Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.050501 0.054931 0.059425 0.064318 0.069488 0.074781 0.080602
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.042191 0.048523 0.055191 0.062707 0.070917 0.079584 0.089400
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.036215 0.043848 0.052162 0.061826 0.072686 0.084452 0.098100
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.033178 0.042018 0.051929 0.063751 0.077351 0.092394 0.110179
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030138 0.039837 0.051015 0.064666 0.080706 0.098778 0.120499
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.027525 0.037887 0.050138 0.065427 0.083736 0.104704 0.130272
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.024664 0.035371 0.048357 0.064913 0.085106 0.108591 0.137622
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.022891 0.034051 0.047894 0.065873 0.088143 0.114386 0.147193
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.020689 0.031994 0.046354 0.065360 0.089280 0.117839 0.153943
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019094 0.030608 0.045553 0.065676 0.091361 0.122381 0.161981
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018026 0.029846 0.045489 0.066869 0.094497 0.128193 0.171570
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017617 0.029960 0.046555 0.069515 0.099475 0.136304 0.184025
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015441 0.027442 0.043999 0.067356 0.098310 0.136833 0.187262
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013980 0.025859 0.042630 0.066698 0.099029 0.139692 0.193387
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012743 0.024517 0.041517 0.066320 0.100064 0.142927 0.199989
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012421 0.024564 0.042371 0.068643 0.104693 0.150791 0.212490
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011781 0.024056 0.042383 0.069770 0.107720 0.156610 0.222440
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011126 0.023474 0.042247 0.070663 0.110418 0.162010 0.231889
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010163 0.022307 0.041175 0.070168 0.111188 0.164876 0.238087
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009656 0.021873 0.041184 0.071207 0.114056 0.170502 0.247874
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008820 0.020801 0.040151 0.070679 0.114717 0.173194 0.253854
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008243 0.020144 0.039730 0.071021 0.116573 0.177468 0.261909
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.007905 0.019896 0.039937 0.072286 0.119725 0.183486 0.272275